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Subject:[socialcredit] J. F. Kenney
Date:Sunday, July 18, 2004  13:18:39 (-0700)
From:william_b_ryan <william_b_ryan @.....com>

Since its formulation more than eighty years ago, 
Social Credit has been confronted by three main 
groupings in opposition: from the "economists," the 
crank "monetary reformers," and the "Malthusians," 
whose viewpoint Douglas variously described as 
"Semitic," "Puritan," "Calvinist," "classic" or 
"static."

It is a fundamental tenet of informed Christianity 
that we are born into a world of abundance; that 
there can be plenty for all without taking anything 
away from anybody.  If to comfortably survive it is 
not necessary to take something away from somebody 
else, an incentive to war has been removed.

It is my belief that developments over the last half 
century in Russian geosciences (meaning the heartland 
and territories of the former Soviet Union) did much 
to undermine the philosophical underpinnings of the 
communist regime, that were based on the Marxist 
(classical economic) assumption of scarcity.

Those developments were largely unknown in the West 
(meaning the United States and the former British 
Empire).  That ignorance could possibly - I'm not 
saying it sufficiently does - explain the current 
British and American obsession with Iraq, and 
simultaneous European indifference.

The present President Bush grew up in the American 
oil business, with its prejudices and biases.  His 
father, the first President Bush, made his personal 
fortune in the epicenter of the exploration business, 
Midland, Texas.  He moved to Houston, got involved in 
Republican Party politics, got elected a Congressman, 
and the rest is history.

Oil companies have a bias to overvalue their proven 
reserves and discoverable reserves, in order to hold 
up their stock prices and sources of funding for 
exploration.  Their profitability very much depends 
on tax depletion allowances, as their identifiable 
reserves are exploited and "used up."

But their flawed theory causes them to look in the 
wrong places, or rather, fail to look in the best 
places, according to J. F. Kenney, the foremost 
transmitter of the "modern Russian-Ukrainian" theory 
to the West.

His website is http://gasresources.net/
---------------------------


F A I R  U S E  C L A I M E D

CONSIDERATIONS ABOUT RECENT PREDICTIONS
OF IMPENDING SHORTAGES OF PETROLEUM
EVALUATED FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF
MODERN PETROLEUM SCIENCE.

J. F. Kenney

Joint Institute of the Physics of the Earth
Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow;

Gas Resources Corporation, Houston.

ABSTRACT: For almost a century, various predictions 
have been made that the human race is imminently 
going to run out of available petroleum.  The passing 
of time has proven all those predictions to have been 
utterly wrong.  It is pointed out here how all such 
predictions have depended fundamentally upon an 
archaic hypothesis from the 18th century that 
petroleum somehow (miraculously) evolves from 
biological detritus, and is accordingly limited in 
abundance.  That hypothesis has been replaced during 
the past forty years by the modern Russian-Ukrainian 
theory of deep, abiotic petroleum origins which has 
established that petroleum is a primordial material 
erupted from great depth.  Therefore, petroleum 
abundances are limited by little more than the 
quantities of its constituents as were incorporated 
into the Earth at the time of its formation;  and its 
availability depends upon technological development 
and exploration competence.
-

"Rock oil originates as tiny bodies of animals buried 
in the sediments which, under the influence of 
increased temperature and pressure acting during an 
unimaginably long period of time, transform into rock 
oil [petroleum, or crude oil]"

Academician Mikhailo V. Lomonosov, "Slovo o reshdenii 
metallov ot tryaseniya zemli," Proceedings of the 
Imperial Academy of Sciences, St. Petersburg, 1757.
-

"The overwhelming preponderance of geological 
evidence compels the conclusion that crude oil and 
natural petroleum gas have no intrinsic connection 
with biological matter originating near the surface 
of the Earth.  They are primordial materials which 
have been erupted from great depths."

Academician Professor Vladimir B. Porfir'yev, senior 
petroleum exploration geologist for the U.S.S.R., at 
the All-Union Conference on Petroleum and Petroleum 
Geology, Moscow, 1956.
-

"Statistical thermodynamic analysis has established 
clearly that hydrocarbon molecules which comprise 
petroleum require very high pressures for their 
spontaneous formation, comparable to the pressures 
required for the same of diamond.  In that sense, 
hydrocarbon molecules are the high-pressure 
polymorphs of the reduced carbon system as is diamond 
of elemental carbon.  Any notion which might suggest 
that hydrocarbon molecules spontaneously evolve in 
the regimes of temperature and pressure characterized 
by the near-surface of the Earth, which are the 
regimes of methane creation and hydrocarbon 
destruction, does not even deserve consideration."

Professor Emmanuil B. Chekaliuk, at All-Union 
Conference on Petroleum and Petroleum Geology, 
Moscow, 1968.
-

"The eleven major and one giant oil and gas fields 
here described have been discovered in a region which 
had, forty years ago, been condemned as possessing no 
potential for petroleum production.  The exploration 
for these fields was conducted entirely according to 
the perspective of the modern Russian-Ukrainian 
theory of deep, abiotic petroleum origins.  The 
drilling which resulted in these discoveries was 
extended purposely deep into the crystalline basement 
rock, and it is in that basement where the greatest 
part of the reserves exist.  These reserves amount to 
at least 8,200M metric tons of recoverable oil and 
100B cubic meters of recoverable gas, and are thereby 
comparable to those of the North Slope of Alaska.  It 
is conservatively estimated that, when developed, 
these fields will provide approximately thirty 
percent of the energy needs of the industrial nation 
of Ukraine."

Professor Vladilen A. Krayushkin, Chairman of the 
Department of Petroleum Exploration, Institute of 
Geological Sciences, Ukrainian Academy of Sciences, 
Kiev, and leader of the project for the exploration 
of the northern flank of the Dnieper-Donets Basin, at 
the VII-th International Symposium on the Observation 
of the Continental Crust Through Drilling, Santa Fe, 
New Mexico, 1994.
-

The purpose of this article is to present a 
perspective with which the presently existing data of 
known petroleum reserves and production ought best to 
be evaluated.  The particular subject of this article 
is the application to such evaluation of the modern 
Russian-Ukrainian theory of deep, abiotic petroleum 
origins, an extensive body of knowledge which has 
been developed and applied during the last forty 
years.  Thus this article must be understood as one 
dealing with the context of certain statistical data 
involving the petroleum industry rather than one 
concerning with the detailed content of any part of 
that data.  The specific data of the quantities of 
known recoverable petroleum presented by several 
recent writers will be taken in large part without 
comment.  However, many of the conclusions drawn from 
such data, particularly such as purport to predict 
the future of available petroleum reserves and of the 
petroleum industry itself, will be weighed and 
rejected from the perspective of modern petroleum 
science.

Throughout the history of the petroleum industry, 
there have been written numerous articles or reports 
predicting an imminent demise of that industry all 
predicated upon assumptions that the supply of 
producible crude oil in the world was (supposedly) 
being rapidly depleted and would soon (therefore) be 
exhausted.(Campbell 1991; Fuller 1993; Campbell 1994; 
Campbell 1995)  In short, the world was (if such were 
believed), "running out of oil."  Happily, all such 
predictions have, without a single exception, been 
proven wrong.

Contrarily, the statistics of the international 
petroleum industry establish that, far from 
diminishing, the net known recoverable reserves of 
petroleum have been growing steadily for the past 
fifty years.  Those statistics show that, for every 
year since about 1946, the international petroleum 
industry has discovered at least five new tons of 
recoverable oil for every three which have been 
consumed.  As Professor P. Odell has put the 
circumstance succinctly, instead of "running out of 
oil," the human race by every measure seems to be 
"running into oil".(Odell 1984; Odell 1991; Odell 
1994)

The remarkable facts of such unrelieved errors for 
the predictions of available petroleum contrasted 
against those of its true availability demand 
explanation.  One purpose of this paper is to provide 
such explanation.  The explanation involves two 
parts, both of which obtain from an extensive body of 
scientific knowledge which peculiarly remains little 
known outside its country of origin.  The first part 
of the explanation is simply forthcoming by pointing 
out the single, simple, but utterly wrong assumption 
upon which have been based all the "disaster" 
predictions connected with fantasized shortages of 
petroleum.  The second part consists even more simply 
of pointing out how the measured statistics of known 
petroleum reserves are consistent with what should be 
expected in light of modern petroleum science.

The errors concerning the abundances of petroleum on 
Earth all obtain from a common, but fundamental, 
misunderstanding about petroleum itself.  All the 
predictions about expected shortages of petroleum 
hang by a single, weak thread on a remnant, 
eighteenth-century notion which has been thoroughly 
discredited in this century:  the hypothesis that 
petroleum might somehow originate from biological 
detritus in sediments near the surface of the Earth.  
That "biological hypothesis" was first published by 
the famous Russian scientist Mikhailo Vasil­yevich 
Lomonosov in the year 1757 and is quoted above.  That 
notion of an origin of petroleum from biological 
material has occasioned numerous misnomers concerning 
petroleum as, for example, "fossil" fuel, and 
associated, misleading phrases like "vanishing 
resource."  Because the volume of biological matter 
on Earth is itself limited, the misunderstanding that 
petroleum might originate from such has given rise 
consequentially to a notion that petroleum should be 
similarly limited, and somehow in connection with the 
quantity of biogenic material observed in sediments.

The hypothesis that petroleum might somehow originate 
from biological detritus in sediments near the 
surface of the Earth is utterly wrong.  It deserves 
note that Lomonosov himself never meant for that 
hypothesis to be taken as more than a reasonable 
suggestion, to be tested against further observation 
and laboratory experiment.  The "biological 
hypothesis" of petroleum origins has been rejected in 
this century by scientific petroleum geologists 
because it is formidably inconsistent with the 
existing geological records "on the ground."  That 
hypothesis has been rejected also by physicists, 
chemists, and engineers because it violates 
fundamental physical law.

Lomonosov's eighteenth-century hypothesis of a 
biogenic origin of petroleum has been replaced during 
the past forty years by the modern theory of deep, 
abiotic petroleum origins, an extensive and 
formidable body of scientific knowledge which has 
been developed in the former U.S.S.R., particularly 
in the countries Russia and Ukraine. The modern 
Russian-Ukrainian theory of petroleum has established 
that petroleum is a primordial material of deep 
origin which has been erupted into the crust of the 
Earth.

With the elimination of the error that petroleum 
might be some manifestation of transformed, but 
limited, biological matter originating on the surface 
of the Earth, the consequential errors connected with 
its supposed limits both of quantity and habitat 
vanish.  Thus the errors of all the "doomsday" 
predictions of petroleum shortages, which have never 
subsequently occurred, are explained, - or, more 
simply, eliminated.

Because the explanation of the errors connected with 
the predictions about petroleum shortages obtains 
simply from the modern Russian-Ukrainian theory of 
deep, abiotic petroleum origins, and because that 
theory is little known outside the former U.S.S.R., 
its subject deserves at least short mention.

The modern Russian-Ukrainian theory of deep, abiotic 
petroleum origins is an extensive body of scientific 
knowledge covering the subjects of the chemical 
genesis of hydrocarbon molecules, the physical 
processes which occasion their terrestrial 
concentration, the dynamical processes of the 
movement of that material into geological reservoirs 
of petroleum, and the location and economic 
production of petroleum.  As stated, the modern 
theory has determined that petroleum is a primordial 
material of deep origin which is transported at high 
pressure via "cold" eruptive processes into the crust 
of the Earth.  The modern Russian-Ukrainian theory is 
almost unique among what too often pass as "theories" 
in the field of geology (especially in the U.S.A.) in 
that it is based not only upon extensive geological 
observation but also upon rigorous, analytical, 
physical reasoning.  Much of the modern Russian 
theory of deep, abiotic petroleum genesis developed 
from the sciences of chemistry and thermodynamics, 
and accordingly the modern theory has steadfastly 
held as a central tenet that the generation of 
hydrocarbons must conform to the general laws of 
chemical thermodynamics, - as must likewise all 
matter.  With the exception of methane, the alkane of 
the lowest chemical potential of all hydrocarbons, 
and to a lesser extent ethene, the alkene of the 
lowest chemical potential of its homologous molecular 
series, petroleum has no intrinsic association with 
biological material.  Methane is thermodynamically 
stable in the pressure and temperature regime of the 
near-surface crust of the Earth and accordingly can 
be generated there spontaneously, as is indeed 
observed for such phenomena as swamp gas or sewer 
gas.  However, methane is practically the sole 
hydrocarbon molecule possessing such characteristic 
in that thermodynamic regime; almost all other 
reduced hydrocarbon molecules excepting only the 
lightest ones, are high pressure polymorphs of the 
hydrogen-carbon system.  The genesis of heavier 
hydrocarbons occurs only in multi-kilobar regimes of 
high pressures [Note 1].

The modern Russian theory of deep, abiotic petroleum 
origins is no longer an item of academic debate among 
persons in university faculties in the former Soviet 
Union.  This body of knowledge is now approximately a 
half century old and has moved considerably beyond 
the stages of academic research and scientific 
testing.  Today the modern theory is applied as a 
useful tool and the guiding perspective in petroleum 
exploration throughout the former Soviet Union.  Such 
was exactly one of the primary points brought out in 
a paper delivered at an international conference held 
in Santa Fe, New Mexico, in May 1994, concerning the 
discovery of the eleven major and one giant oil and 
gas fields in the Dnieper-Donets Basin.(Krayushkin, 
Tchebanenko et al. 1994)

Because of the general lack of familiarity outside 
the former U.S.S.R. with the modern Russian-Ukrainian 
theory of deep, abiotic petroleum origins, several 
immediate facts about that body of knowledge deserve 
to be set forth.

The modern Russian-Ukrainian theory of deep, abiotic 
petroleum origins is not new or recent.  This theory 
was first enunciated by Professor Nikolai Kudryavtsev 
in 1951, almost a half century ago,(Kudryavtsev 1951) 
and has undergone extensive development, refinement, 
and application since its introduction.  There have 
been more than four thousand articles published in 
the Soviet scientific journals, and many books, 
dealing with the modern theory.  This writer is 
presently co-authoring a book upon the subject of the 
development and applications of the modern theory of 
petroleum for which the bibliography requires more 
than thirty pages.

The modern Russian-Ukrainian theory of deep, abiotic 
petroleum origins is not the work of any one single 
man, - nor of a few men.  The modern theory was 
developed by hundreds of scientists in the (now 
former) U.S.S.R., including many of the finest 
geologists, geochemists, geophysicists, and 
thermodynamicists of that country.  There have now 
been more than two generations of geologists, 
geophysicists, chemists, and other scientists in the 
U.S.S.R. who have worked upon and contributed to the 
development of the modern theory.(Kropotkin 1956; 
Anisimov, Vasilyev et al. 1959; Kudryavtsev 1959; 
Porfir'yev 1959; Kudryavtsev 1963; Raznitsyn 1963; 
Krayushkin 1965; Markevich 1966; Dolenko 1968; 
Dolenko 1971; Linetskii 1974; Letnikov, Karpov et al. 
1977; Porfir'yev and Klochko 1981; Krayushkin 
1984)[Note 2]

The modern Russian-Ukrainian theory of deep, abiotic 
petroleum origins is not untested or speculative.  On 
the contrary, the modern theory was severely 
challenged by many traditionally-minded geologists at 
the time of its introduction; and during the first 
decade then after, the modern theory was thoroughly 
examined, extensively reviewed, powerfully debated, 
and rigorously tested.  Every year following 1951, 
there were important scientific conferences organized 
in the U.S.S.R. to debate and evaluate the modern 
theory, its development, and its predictions.  The 
All-Union conferences in petroleum and petroleum 
geology in the years 1952-1964/5 dealt particularly 
with this subject.  (During the period when the 
modern theory was being subjected to extensive 
critical challenge and testing, a number of the men 
pointed out that there had never been any similar 
critical review or testing of the traditional 
hypothesis that petroleum might somehow have evolved 
spontaneously from biological detritus.)

The modern Russian-Ukrainian theory of deep, abiotic 
petroleum origins is not a vague, qualitative 
hypothesis, but stands as a rigorous analytic theory 
within the mainstream of the modern physical 
sciences.  In this respect, the modern theory differs 
fundamentally not only from the previous hypothesis 
of a biological origin of petroleum but also from all 
traditional geological hypotheses.  Since the 
nineteenth century, knowledgeable physicists, 
chemists, thermodynamicists, and chemical engineers 
have regarded with grave reservations (if not 
outright disdain) the suggestion that highly reduced 
hydrocarbon molecules of high free enthalpy (the 
constituents of crude oil) might somehow evolve 
spontaneously from highly oxidized biogenic molecules 
of low free enthalpy.  Beginning in 1964, Soviet 
scientists carried out extensive theoretical 
statistical thermodynamic analysis which established 
explicitly that the hypothesis of evolution of 
hydrocarbon molecules (except methane) from biogenic 
ones in the temperature and pressure regime of the 
Earth's near-surface crust was glaringly in violation 
of the second law of thermodynamics.  They also 
determined that the evolution of reduced hydrocarbon 
molecules requires pressures of magnitudes 
encountered at depths equal to such of the mantle of 
the Earth.  During the second phase of its 
development, the modern theory of petroleum was 
entirely recast from a qualitative argument based 
upon a synthesis of many qualitative facts into a 
quantitative argument based upon the analytical 
arguments of quantum statistical mechanics and 
thermodynamic stability theory.(Chekaliuk 1967; Boiko 
1968; Chekaliuk 1971; Chekaliuk and Kenney 1991; 
Kenney 1995)  With the transformation of the modern 
theory from a synthetic geology theory arguing by 
persuasion into an analytical physical theory arguing 
by compulsion, petroleum geology entered the 
mainstream of modern science.

The modern Russian-Ukrainian theory of deep, abiotic 
petroleum origins is not controversial nor presently 
a matter of academic debate.  The period of debate 
about this extensive body of knowledge has been over 
for approximately two decades (Simakov 1986).  The 
modern theory is presently applied extensively 
throughout the former U.S.S.R. as the guiding 
perspective for petroleum exploration and development 
projects.  There are presently more than 80 oil and 
gas fields in the Caspian district alone which were 
explored and developed by applying the perspective of 
the modern theory and which produce from the 
crystalline basement rock.(Krayushkin, Chebanenko et 
al. 1994)  Similarly, such exploration in the western 
Siberia cratonic-rift sedimentary basin has developed 
90 petroleum fields of which 80 produce either partly 
or entirely from the crystalline basement.  The 
exploration and discoveries of the 11 major and 1 
giant fields on the northern flank of the Dneiper-
Donets basin have already been noted.  There are 
presently deep drilling exploration projects under 
way in Azerbaijan, Tatarstan, and Asian Siberia 
directed to testing potential oil and gas reservoirs 
in the crystalline basement.

The errors involved in predictions about the future 
availability of petroleum, inevitably occasioned by 
an inappropriate application of the rococo hypothesis 
that petroleum somehow miraculously evolved from 
limited volumes of biogenic matter, obtain generally 
from the very notion of such as a "limited, fossil" 
material.  Correctly, one should better recognize 
that there exists no more reason to expect a future 
shortage of petroleum than of, say, mid-oceanic ridge 
basalt (MORB).  [MORB is the rock characteristic of 
the loci of the deep suture, spreading zones on the 
mid-ocean floor where new oceanic crust is constantly 
being erupted from the mantle of the Earth.]  Those 
predictive errors obtain specifically from neglect of 
several extremely large potential sources of 
petroleum, of which a few are set forth here.

(1.) The potential to produce petroleum from the 
crystalline basement, from volcanic structures, from 
impact structures, and from non-sedimentary regions 
generally has been entirely neglected.

(2.) The petroleum potential of the riftogenic suture 
zones, both subsea and on-shore, have been largely 
neglected.

(3.) The petroleum which certainly exists and will 
surely be produced from reservoirs underneath those 
presently being produced has been almost entirely 
neglected [Note 3].

(4.) The potential to produce petroleum gas from 
reservoirs beneath the methane clathrate zones has 
been completely neglected, as has mostly the same of 
the methane clathrate reserves themselves.

(5.) The potential that certain of the petroleum 
fields presently producing may be drawing pressured 
hydrocarbons from an open and active fault or conduit 
from the mantle, and therefore, may never be 
depleted,[Note 5] has been entirely neglected, as has 
the potential to develop non-depleting fields by deep 
drilling.(Mahfoud and Beck 1995)

In view of these considerations, there stands no 
reason to worry about, and even less to plan for, any 
predicted demise of the petroleum industry based upon 
a vanishing of petroleum reserves.  On the contrary, 
these considerations compel additional investment and 
development in the technology and skills of deep 
drilling, of deep seismic measurement and 
interpretation, of the reservoir properties of 
crystalline rock, and of the associated completion 
and production practices which should be applied in 
such non-traditional reservoirs.

Not only are any predictions that the world is 
"running out of oil" invalid, so also are suggestions 
that the petroleum exploration and production 
industry is a "mature" or "declining" one.  This 
writer's experience, gained from working in the 
former U.S.S.R. during the past five years, has 
provided compelling evidence that the petroleum 
industry is only now entering its adolescence.
-

Anisimov, V. V., V. G. Vasilyev, et al. (1959). 
"Berezov gas-prone district, and perspectives of its 
development." Geology of Oil and Gas 9: 1-6.

Boiko, G. E. (1968). The Transformation of deep 
Petroleum under the Conditions of the Earth's Crust. 
Kiev, Naukova Dumka.

Campbell, C. J. (1991). The golden century of oil: 
1950-2050. Dordrecht, Kluwer Academic.

Campbell, C. J. (1994). "The imminent end of cheap 
oil-based energy." SunWorld 18(4, Dec 1994).

Campbell, C. J. (1995). "The imminent end of cheap 
oil-based energy." SunWorld 19(1, March 1995).

Chekaliuk, E. B. (1967). Oil in the Earth's Upper 
Mantle. Kiev, Naukova Dumka.

Chekaliuk, E. B. (1971). The Thermodynamic Basis for 
theTheory of the Abiotic Genesis of Petroleum. Kiev, 
Naukova Dumka.

Chekaliuk, E. B. and J. F. Kenney (1991). "The 
stability of hydrocarbons in the thermodynamic 
conditions of the Earth." Proc. Am. Phys. Soc. 36(3): 
347.

Dolenko, G. E. (1968). "The origin of oil and gas 
deposits in the crust of the Earth." Geol. Zh. 2: 67.

Dolenko, G. N. (1971). On the origin of petroleum 
deposits. The Origin of Petroleum and Natural Gas and 
the Formation of the Commercial Deposits. Kiev, 
Naukova Dumka: 3.

Fuller, J. G. C. (1993). The oil industry today. The 
British Association Lectures 1993. London, The 
Geological Society. 53.

Kenney, J. F. (1995). The spontaneous high-pressure 
generation and stability of hydrocarbons:  the 
generation of n-alkanes, benzene, toluene & xylene at 
multi-kilobar pressures. Joint XV AIR/APT 
International Conference on High-Pressure Physics and 
Technology, Warsaw.

Krayushkin, V. A. (1965). Theoretical Problems of 
Migration and Accumulation of Oil and Natural Gas. 
Synopsis of theses for degree of Doctor of Science. 
Moscow, I. M. Gubkin Institute of the Oil-Chemical, 
and Gas Industry: 36.

Krayushkin, V. A. (1984). The Abiotic, Mantle Origin 
of Petroleum. Kiev, Naukova Dumka.

Krayushkin, V. A., T. I. Tchebanenko, V. P. Klochko, 
Ye. S. Dvoryanin, J. F. Kenney (1994). Recent 
applications of the modern theory of abiogenic 
hydrocarbon origins:  Drilling and development of oil 
& gas fields in the Dneiper-Donets Basin. VIIth 
International Symposium on the Observation of the 
Continental Crust through Drilling, Santa Fe, NM, 
DOSECC: 21-24..

Kropotkin, P. N., Ed. (1956). Origin of hydrocarbons 
of the Earth's crust. Proceedings of Discussion on 
the Problem of Origin and Migration of Oil. Kiev, 
Academy of Sciences Press, the Ukrainian SSR.

Kudryavtsev, N. A. (1951). "On the problem of 
petroleum genesis and the formation of oil deposits." 
Neft. Kh-vo. 9: 17-29.

Kudryavtsev, N. A. (1959). Oil, Gas, and Solid 
Bitumens in Igneous and Metamorphic Rocks. Leningrad, 
State Fuel Technical Press.

Kudryavtsev, N. A. (1963). Deep Faults and Oil 
Deposits. Leningrad, Gostoptekhizdat.

Letnikov, F. A., I. K. Karpov, et al. (1977). The 
Fluid Regime of Earth Crust and Upper Mantle. Moscow, 
Nauka Press.

Linetskii, V. F. (1974). The Migration of Oil and Gas 
at Great Depths. Kiev, Naukova Dumka.

Mahfoud, R. F. and J. N. Beck (1995). "Why the Middle 
East fields may produce oil forever." Offshore April 
1995: 58-64, 106.

Markevich, B. P. (1966). The History of Geological 
Evolution, and Petroleum-Content of the West Siberian 
Lowland. Moscow, Nauka Press.

Odell, P. R. (1984). "World oil resources, reserves, 
and production." The Energy Journal 15(Special 
Issue): 89-114.

Odell, P. R. (1991). "Global and regional energy 
supplies:  Recent fictions and fallacies revisited." 
Energy Exploration & Exploitation 9(5): 237-258.

Odell, P. R. (1994). "Global energy market:  Future 
supply potentials." Energy Exploration & Exploitation 
12(1): 59-72.

Porfir'yev, V. B. (1959). The Problem of the 
Migration of Petroleum and the Formation of 
Accumulations of Oil and Gas. Moscow, 
Gostoptekhizdat.

Porfir'yev, V. B. and V. P. Klochko (1981). Oil-
content problem of basement of the Siberia. 
Geological and Geochemical Principles of Prospect for 
Oil and Gas. Kiev, Naukova Dumka Press: 36-101.

Raznitsyn, V. A. (1963). "Perspectives of petroleum-
content of the Timan-Pechera Region." Petroleum 
Geology and Geophysics 10: 27-31.

Simakov, S. N. (1986). Forcasting and Estimation of 
the Petroleum-bearing Subsurface at Great Depths. 
Leningrad, Nedra.
-

Notes

1. Just as diamonds can be created in a laboratory at 
low pressures by such processes as an acetylene 
plasma, so likewise can heavy hydrocarbons be 
synthesized by such as the Fischer-Tropsch process.  
But neither process is much mimicked in natural 
circumstances, and under such thermodynamic 
conditions of synthesis, the produced hydrocarbons 
are unstable and would decompose in any natural 
environment.

2. In the very abbreviated bibliography are given 
only a selection of the earliest works published in 
the subjects by those particular men.  For examples, 
both Krayushkin and Porfir'yev published each more 
than two hundred articles and several monographs on 
the subject.

3. And such neglect occurs now forty-five years after 
Kudryavtsev taught the petroleum industry about those 
reservoirs !

4. It deserves to be pointed out that such neglect 
continues despite these possibilities having been 
brought to the attention of the international 
petroleum industry in western trade journals.(Mahfoud 
and Beck 1995)
-

Published in, "Special Edition on The Future of 
Petroleum" in Energy World, British Institute of 
Petroleum, London, June 1996.

Republished by Russian Academy of Sciences, Kazan, 
1997.

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