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Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Fw: [socialcredit] Martin H
RE: [socialcredit] Daniel M
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Peter Ha
Re: [socialcredit] Peter Ha
RE: [socialcredit] thomsonh
An Inflation Case Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Inter-war price ch Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
'Geonomics' vs. So thomsonh
Re: [socialcredit] Kenneth
Re: [socialcredit] Keith Wi
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] John G R
Re: [socialcredit] John G R
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
RE: [socialcredit] thomsonh
Rent for everyone thomsonh
social credit, geo Triumpho
Re: [socialcredit] Peter Ha
Fw: [socialcredit] Martin H
Credit for everyon Jeffery
RE: [socialcredit] John G R
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Rent for everyone: thomsonh
RE: [socialcredit] John G R
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Re: [socialcredit] W. McGun
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this and that Triumpho
RE: [socialcredit] thomsonh
sorry Triumpho
Dividend in Social Triumpho
RE: [socialcredit] John G R
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RE: [socialcredit] thomsonh
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
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RE: [socialcredit] thomsonh
land, money Triumpho
Re: [socialcredit] Kenneth
Re: [socialcredit] Jeffery
Re: [socialcredit] Peter Ha
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Re: [socialcredit] Martin H
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Subject:RE: [socialcredit] The Spanish Gold Story - An Inflation Case Study
Date:Saturday, March 11, 2006  11:49:11 (-0500)
From:Daniel Morin <dan @........com>

Joe, your reality is misinterpreting the facts.  For instance, it is a fact that prices have been steadily declining when the money supply was stable.  The reason why prices are declining is because of increase in productivity.  Today, we have better equipment, machinery and technology, and we can produce more with less labor.  Some of the benefits of this productivity increase goes to the producer (higher profit), however most of the benefits is passed to the consumer by selling the same product (or service) at a lower cost because of competition.  People and businesses don't go out of business because prices are failing.  If so, how do you explain prices of computers going down while profits of the computer industry being record high?  Also, how would you explain higher bankruptcy rate when inflation is high.  If raising prices would help businesses, then there should have seen the lowest number of bankruptcies in 1980 and 1981.  By the way, every industry could experience a price decline according to their rate of productivity.  Computer product prices decline faster because the industry makes faster improvements.
 
A recession is caused by a reduction of the money supply.  This is why prices are declining.  Recessions are bad.  Remember, that I advocate a stable money supply.  A sharp reduction of the money supply was the origin of the Great Depression.  On the other hand, an increase of productivity (with a stable money supply) does result in a price decline which is a different scenario.  It is wrong to think a price decline causes an increase of productivity.  If there is no increase of productivity and the money supply is stable, then the prices do not decline.
 

(Joe replies:-)  Interest rates are currently way lower than they were in the 1970’s and 1980’s, yet the personal ‘savings rate’ in the USA is supposed to be in ‘negative’ territory nowadays.  How do you explain that?

Easy as pie.  The lower the interest rate, the more tempting it is to borrow money.  Borrowing money is just the opposite of saving money.  When more people borrow money than saving money, we have a 'negative savings rate'.  Remember that high savings reduces the interest rate, however a lower interest rate does not result in high savings.  Nobody wants to save their money when they get less than 1% return on their capital.  You keep inverting the cause and effect.  For instance, someone wealthy may spend a lot of money, however someone spending a lot of money may not be wealthy, in fact he/she may be at the brinks of bankruptcy while 'looking rich'.  Appearances may be misleading.
 
 
(Joe replies:-)  Most mortgages are not made by private individuals such as yourself  lending their savings to a would-be home buyer.  They are made by the banking sector, which does not ‘lend’ YOUR ‘money’ at all, but creates ‘new credit’.
 
Exactly, and this is the problem.  This new money is inflating the money supply and causing prices to rise.  This is why prices of houses, cars and everything else goes up.  If there was an equilibrium between borrowing and savings, prices would never go up and people could afford much better housing.  There would be no need to 'offset' a problem that does not exist.
 
(Joe replies:-) But the greatest cause of individual business failure~ a ‘flawed’ money system ~ would be removed.
 
I agree. The flawed money system is the central bank and should be removed.
 
-----Original Message-----
From: thomsonhiyu [mailto:thomsonhiyu@shaw.ca]
Sent: Friday, March 10, 2006 12:57 PM
To: socialcredit@elistas.com
Subject: RE: [socialcredit] The Spanish Gold Story - An Inflation Case Study

 

 

(Dan Morin wrote:-))  By the way, declining prices is good for everyone because the poor can now afford things that were too expensive before.  Think of the price of computers which have been going down every year - it is good for all of us.  Now imagine if prices of houses, cars, food and tuition would go down every year.  You could now afford a bigger house, better car, eat higher quality food and get bonus education for the same money.

(Joe replies:-)  ‘Declining prices’, while ‘good’ for everyone as ‘Consumers’, are currently a disaster for ‘Producers’, taken as a whole.  The ‘lower limit’ of ‘price’ is determined by financial cost, while only the ‘upper limit’ is governed roughly by the ‘quantity’ of money available.  When a producer cannot recover his previously incurred financial ‘costs’, plus the minimum amount of ‘profit’ necessary to provide an incentive for him to produce, he ceases to produce.

 If ‘prices’ for his product keep falling, he goes out of business.  It is not necessarily a case that he, as a producer considered ‘individually’, has done anything wrong.  His plant and product may be excellent, the product may be something that’s needed, but the contraction of credit has been disastrous to him.

 It is a delusion that producers can all can effect manufacturing efficiencies that will overcome this simply by ‘stepping-up production’, and thereby trying to lower ‘unit cost’.  While they may be able to do that ‘individually’ for a time, and indeed lower their per item ‘unit-costs’ and consequent selling price, it is the TOTAL costs of this production that must be recovered from the sale of ALL the units produced.  If this extra production doesn’t ALL sell, the ‘costs’ of the unsold inventory are carried forward into the next cost-accountancy cycle, increasing them.  Do this enough times, and you’re out of business.   The effect on the overall economy, and ‘producers’ as a whole, will be disastrous.  As it has been, in each ‘recession’ or ‘depression’ we’ve witnessed.  With a tremendous ‘waste’ in scrapped plants, abandoned farms, ‘destroyed’ product, and broken lives~ the cost of which has been borne by consumers in the needlessly high prices of everything we buy. 

This is one of the reasons why Social Credit calls for ‘compensated prices’.  With them, we can lower ‘consumer prices’ to reflect the ‘true’, or ‘actual, physical’ costs of production.  (Think about it.  The ‘true’ cost of production, of anything, is ‘consumption’ ~ what was actually ‘used up’ in the whole process ~ and this is what the final ‘financial cost’ or ‘price’ to the consumer should be.)  With a continual increase in ‘efficiency’, the ‘true’ cost of production is continually falling.  But for consumers to gain full benefit from this currently all too often involves the ‘producer’ taking a ‘financial’ loss.  Social Credit can correct that.  An inefficient producer or inept businessman could still ‘go broke’ ~ as he probably should.  But the greatest cause of individual business failure~ a ‘flawed’ money system ~ would be removed.

.

(Dan continues:-)  If you increase the money supply, prices will increase according to the increase of money supply and the interest rates will raise to adjust too. For instance, let say I lend you $100K for a house and ask you to pay me later.

(Joe replies:-)  How has this’ increased’ the money supply?  You didn’t ‘create’ any MORE ‘money’ in doing this, you already HAD the $100K to lend me.  Only the ‘banking sector’ can INCREASE or DECREASE the money ‘supply’. 

 (Dan continues:-)  It is obvious that I expect to get $100K back plus an extra for the risk and trouble.  If in the next 10 years the price of houses has doubled, then I will have to ask at least $200K so I preserve my original purchasing power (buy a house).

(Joe replies:-)  But you are recovering your $ 100K OVER the ten-year period, not in one lump sum, plus interest, at the end of that period.  By way of monthly payments, if the loan is structured like most mortgages.  So you are receiving ‘interest’ income you can spend or invest throughout that whole period, and do.  And likely the greater proportion of it in the first years after the mortgage has been made.  When the principal re-payment portion is the smallest.  So the decline in your purchasing power, while still possibly present from other factors, is not nearly so dramatic as illustrated. 

(Dan continues:-) Another important factor driving down the interest rate is high savings. 

(Joe replies:-)  Interest rates are currently way lower than they were in the 1970’s and 1980’s, yet the personal ‘savings rate’ in the USA is supposed to be in ‘negative’ territory nowadays.  How do you explain that?

 (Dan continues:-) If I have extra money that I don't need, I will be willing to loan my money at a lower interest rate.  If on the other hand I really want (or need) to spend my $100K, then I may not be willing to loan it for 10 years for a mere $20K profit.  A low interest rate is good for the borrower, but most importantly it is beneficial to the society.  The entrepreneur may use that money to invest in production tools and create additional jobs. Pumping money is not good for exports either.  The conclusion is a stable money supply is best for everyone, that is consumers, borrowers and lenders.

(Joe replies:-)  Most mortgages are not made by private individuals such as yourself  lending their savings to a would-be home buyer.  They are made by the banking sector, which does not ‘lend’ YOUR ‘money’ at all, but creates ‘new credit’.  If we were totally dependent on the lending of ‘savings’ to finance the economy, most of us wouldn’t be here today.  Which would undoubtedly suit some people, (the ‘‘Earth First!” Crowd, and other assorted ‘nuts-and-berries’ ditz-brains), just fine.  Fortunately, for those of us who are rational individuals, the modern economy is ‘creditary’.  Correct the ‘flaw’, which is relatively simple to do compared with the massive economic dislocation the ‘single-tax’ ideas, or other communist-style economic prescriptions would engender, and ‘free-enterprise’ and individual initiative can finally come into full flower.

 

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Some introductory materials to the discussion topic of this list are at 
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